SVP & Cowherd Picks + CFB/NFL Public Action You Want To Fade

Plus NFL Week 4 Player Prop Hit Rate Trends

Author

Hit Stick
September 27, 2024

Today’s Email:

  1. SVP and Cowherd Picks

  2. Top NFL Week 4 Player Prop Hit Rate Trends

  3. Updated NFL Week 4 Public Action Report

  4. Updated CFB Week 5 Public Action Report

NOTE: Moving forward “Shed the Block” will now be GYZR Markets

🏈 SVP Picks Week 5

The losing ways for SVP have continued into the 2024-25 season with a 10-18 ATS record through the first four weeks.

Week 5 Picks & Video:

  1. VA Tech +19.5

  2. Kentucky +17.5

  3. UAB +3.5

  4. Wisconsin +15.5

  5. UCF -14

  6. MSU +23.5

  7. Alabama +2

  8. Penn State -18

🏈 CFB Top Public Action Week 5

🚨 BIG UPDATE
🚀Top Public Action CFB Week 5 via DraftKings

(💰by spread handle)

93% on Nebraska -10
90% on JMU -21
89% on Miami, OH -17
89% on Charlotte +6 🐶
89% on ISU -16 (-13.5 on Wed)
87% on Illinois +18🐶
85% on Oklahoma +1 (OKL was -2 on Wed)
85% on Bowling Green -10.5
85% on N. Texas -6.5
85% on UConn -6
85% on Miami, FL -17 (down from -19)
83% on Michigan -10.5 (-9 on Wed)
83% on Kansas -2
83% on Navy -3.5
80% on Akron +10 🐶
79% on Memphis -25.5
79% on Texas -37.5
79% on Ohio State -23.5
78% on Air Force -4 (93% on Wed)
77% on Rutgers -1.5 (big move up past 24 hrs)
72% on Indiana -6.5
70% on EMU -14 (90% on Wed)
68% on USC -15.5 (78% on Wed)
68% on SMU -6 (76% on Wed)
67% on Cincy +3 🐶
64% on Colorado +14.5 🐶 (73% on Wed)
63% on LA Tech -2.5 (78% on Wed)

 

🏈 Cowherd NFL Week 4 Picks

  1. Eagles -1.5 vs. TB Bucs (Score Prediction: 30-24)

  2. Rams +3 vs. Bears (Score Prediction: 24-20 Rams)

  3. Cardinals -3 vs. Commanders (Score Prediction: 33-24 Cards)

  4. Ravens -2.5 vs. Bills (Score Prediction: 28-24 Ravens)

  5. Seahawks +3.5 vs. Lions (Score Prediction: 24-23 Lions)

Colin Cowherd's Picks Went 54-38-6 Last Season - 6-8-1 Start In '24 - BetVega

As we eagerly await Colin Cowherd’s picks for week 1 of the NFL season, let’s revisit his profitable run from last football season. Outperforming a 60% winning percentage when betting on the NFL is not easy. His quest for a successful 2024 campaign started a disappointing 6-8-1. Cowherd NFL Week 4 Picks NFL Week 3...

betvega.com/colin-cowherd-picks

🏈 NFL Week 4 Public Action

🚀 Top Public Action NFL Week 4 via DraftKings

🚨 Friday Update

(💰sorted by spread handle)

1. 81% on Cowboys -5.5 ❌
2. 79% on Bengals -4.5
3. 75% on Steelers -1.5
4. 74% on Lions -3.5
5. 71% on Jags +6.5🐶
6. 70% on Cardinals -3.5
7. 64% on Raiders -1.5
8. 64% on Eagles -1.5
9. 61% on Bills +2.5🐶

Note: 54% on Packers -2.5, was 73% on Wednesday

100% ALT Line Hit Rates - Wide Receivers | NFL Week 4

  1. J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings)

    • 50+ Receiving Yards

    • 7/L7 Games

  2. N. Collins (Houston Texans)

    • 60+ Receiving Yards

    • 7/L7 Games

  3. J. Reynolds (Denver Broncos)

    • 25+ Receiving Yards

    • 7/L7 Games

  4. J. Jeudy (Cleveland Browns)

    • 25+ Receiving Yards

    • 7/L7 Games

  5. J. Meyers (Las Vegas Raiders)

    • 3+ Receptions

    • 6/L6 Games

  6. R. Rice (Kansas City Chiefs)

    • 5+ Receptions

    • 5/L5 Games

  7. K. Shakir (Buffalo Bills)

    • 40+ Receiving Yards

    • 4/L4 Games

  8. A. Pierce (Indianapolis Colts)

    • 25+ Receiving Yards

    • 3/L3 Games

  9. R. Bateman (Baltimore Ravens)

    • 2+ Receptions

    • 3/L3 Games

  10. G. Wilson (New York Jets)

    • 4+ Receptions

    • 3/L3 Games

100% ALT Line Hit Rates - Running Backs | NFL Week 4

  1. A. Jones (Minnesota Vikings)

    • 60+ Rush+Rec Yards

    • 9/L9 Games

  2. J. Hill (Baltimore Ravens)

    • 25+ Rush+Rec Yards

    • 8/L8 Games

  3. B. Hall (New York Jets)

    • 50+ Rushing Yards

    • 6/L6 Games

  4. J. Gibbs (Detroit Lions)

    • 60+ Rush+Rec Yards

    • 6/L6 Games

  5. J. Cook (Buffalo Bills)

    • 60+ Rush+Rec Yards

    • 5/L5 Games

  6. T. Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars)

    • 40+ Rushing Yards

    • 5/L5 Games

  7. S. Barkley (Philadelphia Eagles)

    • 90+ Rush+Rec Yards

    • 4/L4 Games

  8. J. Jacobs (Green Bay Packers)

    • 40+ Rushing Yards

    • 3/L3 Games

  9. N. Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers)

    • 50+ Rushing Yards

    • 3/L3 Games

  10. A. Kamara (New Orleans Saints)

    • 90+ Rush+Rec Yards

    • 3/L3 Games

NFL Week 4 Prop Trends: 100% ALT Line Hit Rates

  1. Kirk Cousins (Atlanta Falcons)

    • Prop: 1+ Passing TD

    • Trend: 19 / L19

  2. Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers)

    • Prop: 200+ Passing Yds

    • Trend: 16 / L16

  3. Rashee Rice (Kansas City Chiefs)

    • Prop: 4+ Receptions

    • Trend: 14 / L14

  4. Michael Pittman Jr. (Indianapolis Colts)

    • Prop: 3+ Receptions

    • Trend: 12 / L12

  5. Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns)

    • Prop: 150+ Passing Yds

    • Trend: 10 / L10*

  6. Chris Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

    • Prop: 40+ Receiving Yds

    • Trend: 10 / L10

  7. Jakobi Meyers (Las Vegas Raiders)

    • Prop: 25+ Receiving Yds

    • Trend: 10 / L10

  8. Justice Hill (Baltimore Ravens)

    • Prop: 2+ Receptions

    • Trend: 8 / L8

  9. Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings)

    • Prop: 50+ Receiving Yds

    • Trend: 7 / L7

  10. Nico Collins (Houston Texans)

    • Prop: 60+ Receiving Yds

    • Trend: 7 / L7

  11. Breece Hall (New York Jets)

    • Prop: 50+ Rushing Yds

    • Trend: 6 / L6

  12. Travis Etienne (Jacksonville Jaguars)

    • Prop: 40+ Rushing Yds

    • Trend: 5 / L5

NFL Week 4: Anytime TD Hit Rate Trends

  1. David Montgomery (DET)

    • Season: 100%

    • Last 5 (L5): 80%

    • Last 10 (L10): 80%

    • Last 20 (L20): 80%

  2. Breece Hall (NYJ)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 100%

    • L10: 70%

    • L20: 55%

  3. Kyren Williams (LAR)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 80%

    • L20: 60%

  4. Derrick Henry (BAL)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 80%

    • L20: 60%

  5. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET)

    • Season: 67%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 80%

    • L20: 65%

  6. Justin Jefferson (MIN)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 60%

    • L20: 50%

  7. Jonathan Taylor (IND)

    • Season: 67%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 80%

    • L20: 60%

  8. James Conner (ARI)

    • Season: 67%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 70%

    • L20: 60%

  9. Chris Godwin (TB)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 80%

    • L10: 50%

    • L20: 35%

  10. Saquon Barkley (PHI)

    • Season: 67%

    • L5: 60%

    • L10: 60%

    • L20: 45%

  11. Zach Charbonnet (SEA)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 60%

    • L10: 40%

    • L20: 21%

  12. Alexander Mattison (LV)

    • Season: 100%

    • L5: 60%

    • L10: 30%

    • L20: 30%

  13. Aaron Jones (MIN)

    • Season: 67%

    • L5: 60%

    • L10: 30%

    • L20: 30%

  14. Alvin Kamara (NO)

    • Season: 67%

    • L5: 40%

    • L10: 40%

    • L20: 35%